Are we in the age of AI acceleration?
March 26, 2023
The first big AI moment in mainstream conciousness was the 2020 release of GPT-3 by OpenAI. That one technology single-handly changed the course of tech, even though it was 30 years in building.
OpenAI did it again with ChatGPT – which propelled AI into the mainstream like nothing else before it. The extent of this is huge, and I perosnally know people who are using AI for generating content.
The last few months have been nothing short of exhilarating, and it only gets better from here.
Things I have been thinking about
- ChatGPT Plugins – betting on chat as an interface yet again.
- this will be potentially more accelerated in markets like China where chat is the primary medium of interaction with the web
- The idea that most people are scared of AI is not because it's perfect, but because it's 'good enough'
- ("The Dawn of Medicore Compting")[https://studio.ribbonfarm.com/p/the-dawn-of-mediocre-computing
- Will AI replace jobs? Will it augument them?
- It probably will replace some jobs, but maybe it'll create a whole new mode of working? Still early days
- Software's Gutenberg moment, and the idea that mass production of cheaply-made, throwaway, niche software isn't too far
- This probably kills a few niche SaaS businesses, but there will always be people who'd pay for niches
- Do we see a period of 30%+ GDP growth accelerated by AI?
- Seems far off, but probably isn't. A personal question for me is: will I be able to create & capture value in this period?
There are more details to be added, and this is an fast-evolving space. This post may go stale after a bit, bit it feels good to have all these thoughts in once place.